Amstetten 1-0 Austria Lustenau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 28 Nov 2025

📅28/11/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.3
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.33
6+ Goals
10%
12.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 28% vs market 23.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.72
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
8%
13.15
X/1
11%
5.71
X/2
8%
5.85
X/X
13%
4.81
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
21%
3.85
2/X
4%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+2.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.2pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amstetten EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Austria Lustenau EU Bookmakers 39%
-9% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +15%
2.07/2.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.44/1.58
-15% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +18%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 77%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.6
18.0 Crosses 19.4
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amstetten
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Austria Lustenau
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.05.2025 Amstetten Amstetten 0-1 HT 0-0 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AU2
02.11.2024 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 0-1 HT 0-0 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
01.04.2022 Amstetten Amstetten 0-2 HT 0-1 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AU2
11.09.2021 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 3-1 HT 0-0 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
08.05.2021 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 4-2 HT 0-0 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
04.12.2020 Amstetten Amstetten 3-2 HT 2-1 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amstetten
1-0
AWAY Austria Lustenau
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Amstetten vs Austria Lustenau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amstetten edged past Austria Lustenau 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Amstetten found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Amstetten had 44% of the ball to Austria Lustenau's 56%, shots finished 12-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Austria Lustenau led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Amstetten and 2.00 for Austria Lustenau.

What was the final score of Amstetten vs Austria Lustenau?

Amstetten 1-0 Austria Lustenau in the Austria - 1st Division on 28/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amstetten vs Austria Lustenau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amstetten win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Amstetten 40%, draw 25%, Austria Lustenau 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Amstetten), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Amstetten) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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