AS Eupen vs Lommel United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
AS Eupen v Lommel United — Team-Based Signals
AS Eupen vs Lommel United Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
AS Eupen 1-2 Lommel United — Actual Match Statistics
Lommel United nicked a narrow win over AS Eupen 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (41% / 21% / 38%) promised a tight game; Lommel United found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, AS Eupen had 92% of the ball to Lommel United's 8%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 0.46 to 1.80 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Lommel United's control.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, AS Eupen had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for AS Eupen and 1.50 for Lommel United.
What was the final score of AS Eupen vs Lommel United?
AS Eupen 1-2 Lommel United in the Belgium - 1st Division on 28/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for AS Eupen vs Lommel United?
Before kick-off our model rated a AS Eupen win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split AS Eupen 41%, draw 21%, Lommel United 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AS Eupen) went the other way.