Atletico Choloma 0-4 Marathon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 28 Nov 2025

📅28/11/2025 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
10%
7.95
Draw
19%
5.71
Away Pick
71%
1.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.23
Over
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.73
No
43%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
31%
4-5
26%
6+
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
14%
1/X
8%
X/1
5%
X/2
17%
X/X
5%
2/1
3%
2/2
39%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Marathon win — 71%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
10%
Home Win
10%
+0.2pp
19%
Draw
15%
+4.8pp
71%
Away Win
76%
-4.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
54%
+3.0pp
43%
BTTS No
46%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Choloma The Market 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Marathon The Market 80%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
0.75/4.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.21/0.72
-20% / -55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +41%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
179 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 444 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Choloma
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Marathon
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
15.09.2025 Marathon Marathon 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Choloma Atletico Choloma HON
POST-MATCH Atletico Choloma vs Marathon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marathon ran out comfortable winners over Atletico Choloma 4-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Marathon as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

What was the final score of Atletico Choloma vs Marathon?

Atletico Choloma 0-4 Marathon in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 28/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Choloma vs Marathon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Marathon win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Atletico Choloma 10%, draw 19%, Marathon 71%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marathon), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Marathon) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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28 Nov 2025
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