Lobos UPNFM 0-0 Motagua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 28 Nov 2025

📅28/11/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
49%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.9
Over
41%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.7
No
57%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
39%
4-5
20%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
23%
Home Win
30%
-7.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
49%
Away Win
44%
+5.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
49%
+10.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
51%
-10.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
55%
-11.3pp
57%
BTTS No
45%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lobos UPNFM The Market 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Motagua The Market 48%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +10%
0.90/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/0.94
-18% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / +21%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
206 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lobos UPNFM
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Motagua
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
14.09.2025 Motagua Motagua 3-3 HT 1-2 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
08.04.2025 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 2-1 HT 2-1 Motagua Motagua HON
07.02.2025 Motagua Motagua 5-0 HT 3-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
29.09.2024 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 0-2 HT 0-2 Motagua Motagua HON
27.07.2024 Motagua Motagua 4-2 HT 1-1 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
15.04.2024 Motagua Motagua 4-0 HT 2-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
POST-MATCH Lobos UPNFM vs Motagua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lobos UPNFM and Motagua played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Motagua at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Motagua led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Lobos UPNFM and 3.17 for Motagua.

What was the final score of Lobos UPNFM vs Motagua?

Lobos UPNFM 0-0 Motagua in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 28/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lobos UPNFM vs Motagua?

Before kick-off our model rated an Motagua win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Lobos UPNFM 23%, draw 28%, Motagua 49%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Motagua) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Motagua) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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HON More Honduras - National League Apertura
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