Motagua vs Lobos UPNFM Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Motagua v Lobos UPNFM — Team-Based Signals
Motagua vs Lobos UPNFM Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-4
HT 1-3
Motagua
HON
1-1
HT 0-1
Lobos UPNFM
HON
Motagua swept aside Lobos UPNFM 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Motagua as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Motagua had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Motagua and 0.67 for Lobos UPNFM.
What was the final score of Motagua vs Lobos UPNFM?
Motagua 5-0 Lobos UPNFM in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 07/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Motagua vs Lobos UPNFM?
Before kick-off our model rated a Motagua win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Motagua 61%, draw 23%, Lobos UPNFM 16%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Motagua), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.