Vitoria Guimaraes 4-0 AVS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 28 Nov 2025

📅28/11/2025 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
19%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
53%
+1.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
19%
Away Win
21%
-1.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.4pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vitoria Guimaraes EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY AVS EU Bookmakers 24%
+3% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
1.57/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.62
+13% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -19%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
344 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 74%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
25.3 Crosses 18.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitoria Guimaraes
1W-0D-1L
AWAY AVS
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.34 xG 0.46
69% Ball Possession 31%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
496 Passes 182
86% Pass Accuracy 70%
24 Box Touches 7
36 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
01.02.2025 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes 2-0 HT 0-0 AVS AVS POR
25.08.2024 AVS AVS 1-0 HT 0-0 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitoria Guimaraes
4-0
AWAY AVS
1.56 xG 1.10
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
288 Passes 359
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
12 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vitoria Guimaraes vs AVS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vitoria Guimaraes swept aside AVS 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Vitoria Guimaraes as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vitoria Guimaraes had 46% of the ball to AVS's 54%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.56 to 1.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vitoria Guimaraes and 0.50 for AVS.

What was the final score of Vitoria Guimaraes vs AVS?

Vitoria Guimaraes 4-0 AVS in the Portugal - Premier League on 28/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vitoria Guimaraes vs AVS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vitoria Guimaraes win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Vitoria Guimaraes 54%, draw 27%, AVS 19%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vitoria Guimaraes) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vitoria Guimaraes) ✗ Under 2.5
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