Central Coast Mariners vs Auckland Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Central Coast Mariners v Auckland — Team-Based Signals
Central Coast Mariners 1-4 Auckland — Actual Match Statistics
Auckland swept aside Central Coast Mariners 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Auckland found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Central Coast Mariners had 61% of the ball to Auckland's 39%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.43 to 1.90.
What was the final score of Central Coast Mariners vs Auckland?
Central Coast Mariners 1-4 Auckland in the Australia - A-League on 28/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Central Coast Mariners vs Auckland?
Before kick-off our model rated a Central Coast Mariners win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Central Coast Mariners 39%, draw 27%, Auckland 33%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.