Wellington Phoenix vs Newcastle Jets Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Wellington Phoenix v Newcastle Jets — Team-Based Signals
Wellington Phoenix vs Newcastle Jets Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-2
Newcastle Jets
AVUS
2-1
HT 2-0
Newcastle Jets
AVUS
3-1
HT 3-1
Wellington Phoenix
AVUS
4-0
HT 0-0
Wellington Phoenix
AVUS
Wellington Phoenix 2-1 Newcastle Jets — Actual Match Statistics
Wellington Phoenix squeezed past Newcastle Jets 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Wellington Phoenix as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Wellington Phoenix had 44% of the ball to Newcastle Jets's 56%, shots finished 11-20, expected goals 0.51 to 1.57 — the balance of chances actually favoured Newcastle Jets.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newcastle Jets led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Wellington Phoenix and 2.17 for Newcastle Jets.
What was the final score of Wellington Phoenix vs Newcastle Jets?
Wellington Phoenix 2-1 Newcastle Jets in the Australia - A-League on 28/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Wellington Phoenix vs Newcastle Jets?
Before kick-off our model rated a Wellington Phoenix win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Wellington Phoenix 44%, draw 24%, Newcastle Jets 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wellington Phoenix), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.