Chennaiyin FC 2-4 Bengaluru — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 28 Dec 2024

Chennaiyin FC
2-4 HT 2-2
Bengaluru
📅28/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
India - Super League – 2024/2025

Chennaiyin FC vs Bengaluru Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.42
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.17
6+ Goals
9%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.42 — our 29% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.2pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.6pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-2.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.3pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chennaiyin FC v Bengaluru — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chennaiyin FC EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Bengaluru EU Bookmakers 42%
+7% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -8%
1.40/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.17
-15% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
283 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
19.5 Crosses 18.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4

Chennaiyin FC vs Bengaluru Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chennaiyin FC
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Bengaluru
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.11 xG 1.47
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
277 Passes 271
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
07.02.2024 Bengaluru Bengaluru 1-0 HT 0-0 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HİNSL
13.12.2023 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Bengaluru Bengaluru HİNSL
28.01.2023 Bengaluru Bengaluru 3-1 HT 3-0 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HİNSL
14.10.2022 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Bengaluru Bengaluru HİNSL
26.01.2022 Bengaluru Bengaluru 3-0 HT 2-0 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HİNSL
30.12.2021 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 2-4 HT 1-2 Bengaluru Bengaluru HİNSL

Chennaiyin FC 2-4 Bengaluru — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chennaiyin FC
2-4
AWAY Bengaluru
1.30 xG 1.49
33% Ball Possession 67%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
140 Passes 362
67% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chennaiyin FC vs Bengaluru
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bengaluru saw off Chennaiyin FC 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Bengaluru found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Chennaiyin FC had 33% of the ball to Bengaluru's 67%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.30 to 1.49.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bengaluru led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chennaiyin FC and 2.00 for Bengaluru.

What was the final score of Chennaiyin FC vs Bengaluru?

Chennaiyin FC 2-4 Bengaluru in the India - Super League on 28/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chennaiyin FC vs Bengaluru?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chennaiyin FC win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Chennaiyin FC 36%, draw 28%, Bengaluru 36%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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HİNSL More India - Super League
28 Dec 2024
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