Malut United 3-2 Borneo FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 28 Dec 2025

📅28/12/2025 · 🕒09:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.25
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
25%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
41%
+3.1pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.2pp
25%
Away Win
31%
-6.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malut United EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Borneo FC EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.24/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.42
-10% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
286 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malut United
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Borneo FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
10.02.2025 Malut United Malut United 3-0 HT 2-0 Borneo FC Borneo FC ENDL1
17.09.2024 Borneo FC Borneo FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Malut United Malut United ENDL1
POST-MATCH Malut United vs Borneo FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malut United edged past Borneo FC 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Malut United as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Malut United and 0.50 for Borneo FC.

What was the final score of Malut United vs Borneo FC?

Malut United 3-2 Borneo FC in the Indonesia League 1 on 28/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malut United vs Borneo FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malut United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Malut United 44%, draw 31%, Borneo FC 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malut United), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Malut United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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