Madura United vs Semen Padang Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Madura United v Semen Padang — Team-Based Signals
Madura United vs Semen Padang Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Madura United
ENDL1
Madura United swept aside Semen Padang 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Madura United as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Semen Padang led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Madura United and 1.33 for Semen Padang.
What was the final score of Madura United vs Semen Padang?
Madura United 5-1 Semen Padang in the Indonesia League 1 on 28/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Madura United vs Semen Padang?
Before kick-off our model rated a Madura United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Madura United 41%, draw 29%, Semen Padang 30%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Madura United), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.