Persebaya Surabaya 4-0 Persijap Jepara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 28 Dec 2025

📅28/12/2025 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.76
No
57%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
53%
+1.3pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.2pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+1.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.4pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Persebaya Surabaya EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Persijap Jepara EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
1.48/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.68
-7% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
326 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Persebaya Surabaya
4-0
AWAY Persijap Jepara
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Persebaya Surabaya vs Persijap Jepara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Persebaya Surabaya ran out comfortable winners over Persijap Jepara 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Persebaya Surabaya as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Persebaya Surabaya had 58% of the ball to Persijap Jepara's 42%, shots finished 13-19.

What was the final score of Persebaya Surabaya vs Persijap Jepara?

Persebaya Surabaya 4-0 Persijap Jepara in the Indonesia League 1 on 28/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Persebaya Surabaya vs Persijap Jepara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Persebaya Surabaya win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Persebaya Surabaya 55%, draw 22%, Persijap Jepara 23%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Persebaya Surabaya), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Persebaya Surabaya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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