Bodo / Glimt 0-2 Sparta Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 29 Jan 2024

Bodo / Glimt
0-2
Sparta Prag
📅29/01/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2023/2024

Bodo / Glimt vs Sparta Prag Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
35%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.89
Over 2.5
51%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.35
No
51%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
6.83
2-3 Goals
38%
2.16
4-5 Goals
26%
2.46
6+ Goals
10%
4.91
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 6.83 — our 26% vs market 10.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
35%
+4.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.1pp
36%
Away Win
42%
-6.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
31%
+17.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
69%
-17.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
70%
-21.2pp
51%
BTTS No
30%
+21.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bodo / Glimt v Sparta Prag — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bodo / Glimt EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
317 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.0

Bodo / Glimt 0-2 Sparta Prag — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bodo / Glimt
0-2
AWAY Sparta Prag
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bodo / Glimt vs Sparta Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Prag beat Bodo / Glimt 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Sparta Prag found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Bodo / Glimt had 59% of the ball to Sparta Prag's 41%, shots finished 13-7.

What was the final score of Bodo / Glimt vs Sparta Prag?

Bodo / Glimt 0-2 Sparta Prag in the Friendlies on 29/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bodo / Glimt vs Sparta Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bodo / Glimt win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Bodo / Glimt 39%, draw 26%, Sparta Prag 36%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Bodo / Glimt), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bodo / Glimt) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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