29/01/2024
·
17:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
0-0
Oleksandria vs Dukagjini Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
26%
Draw
25%
33%
Away Win
27%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Oleksandria v Dukagjini — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Oleksandria
EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY
Dukagjini
EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+56% /
+56%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+69%
/
+59%
51%
Ball Possession
49%
12
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
3
4
Corners
4
311 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
250 · 71%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Oleksandria vs Dukagjini
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Oleksandria nicked a narrow win over Dukagjini 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Oleksandria as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Oleksandria vs Dukagjini?
Oleksandria 1-0 Dukagjini in the Friendlies on 29/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Oleksandria vs Dukagjini?
Before kick-off our model rated a Oleksandria win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Oleksandria 42%, draw 26%, Dukagjini 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oleksandria), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Oleksandria)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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HAZ
More Friendlies
29 Jan 2024