Lommel United vs Boussu Dour Borinage Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lommel United v Boussu Dour Borinage — Team-Based Signals
Lommel United vs Boussu Dour Borinage Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Boussu Dour Borinage
BEL2
Lommel United 1-2 Boussu Dour Borinage — Actual Match Statistics
Boussu Dour Borinage edged past Lommel United 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 36%) promised a tight game; Boussu Dour Borinage found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Lommel United had 60% of the ball to Boussu Dour Borinage's 40%, shots finished 5-12, expected goals 0.17 to 1.52 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Boussu Dour Borinage's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lommel United had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Lommel United and 0.67 for Boussu Dour Borinage.
What was the final score of Lommel United vs Boussu Dour Borinage?
Lommel United 1-2 Boussu Dour Borinage in the Belgium - 1st Division on 29/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lommel United vs Boussu Dour Borinage?
Before kick-off our model rated an Boussu Dour Borinage win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Lommel United 34%, draw 30%, Boussu Dour Borinage 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boussu Dour Borinage) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.