Lommel United vs Boussu Dour Borinage Prediction — Model Probabilities
Lommel United v Boussu Dour Borinage — Team-Based Signals
Lommel United vs Boussu Dour Borinage Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Lommel United 1-2 Boussu Dour Borinage — Actual Match Statistics
Boussu Dour Borinage found just enough to beat Lommel United 2-1 on the road. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Lommel United at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 49% and both teams to score at 54%.
By the numbers, possession split 60% to 40% in Lommel United's favour, shots finished 5-12, expected goals 0.17 to 1.52 — on chances created, Boussu Dour Borinage won this by more than the scoreboard admits.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lommel United had the better of it with 3 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.67 a game for Lommel United against 0.67 for Boussu Dour Borinage.
Lommel United vs Boussu Dour Borinage Result & Final Score
Lommel United 1 - 2 Boussu Dour Borinage in the Belgium - Challenger Pro League on 29/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Lommel United vs Boussu Dour Borinage Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Lommel United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Lommel United 42%, draw 28%, Boussu Dour Borinage 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lommel United), Under 2.5 went the other way.