Fortaleza CEIF 0-0 Envigado — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 29 Jan 2025

📅29/01/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.54
Over 2.5
43%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.27
No
59%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
56%
-1.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.5pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
61%
-4.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
39%
+4.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.8pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortaleza CEIF EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Envigado EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -8%
1.31/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.30
+16% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +0%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
344 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 75%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.3
20.8 Crosses 11.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortaleza CEIF
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Envigado
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.75 xG 0.75
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
338 Passes 270
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
11 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
03.08.2024 Envigado Envigado 0-1 HT 0-0 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOL
05.02.2024 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 1-1 HT 1-1 Envigado Envigado KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortaleza CEIF
0-0
AWAY Envigado
0.67 xG 0.20
73% Ball Possession 27%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
505 Passes 146
88% Pass Accuracy 70%
28 Box Touches 7
24 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fortaleza CEIF vs Envigado
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortaleza CEIF and Envigado played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Fortaleza CEIF at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Fortaleza CEIF had 73% of the ball to Envigado's 27%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 0.67 to 0.20.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Fortaleza CEIF had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fortaleza CEIF and 0.50 for Envigado.

What was the final score of Fortaleza CEIF vs Envigado?

Fortaleza CEIF 0-0 Envigado in the Colombia - Primera on 29/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortaleza CEIF vs Envigado?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortaleza CEIF win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza CEIF 55%, draw 24%, Envigado 21%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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