Estoril U23 2-1 Vizela U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 29 Jan 2026

📅29/01/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+3.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.1pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estoril U23 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Vizela U23 EU Bookmakers 36%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.62/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/2.12
+3% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -27%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
291 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estoril U23
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Vizela U23
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.04.2025 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 1-2 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 PORU23
21.01.2025 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 4-1 HT 3-0 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 PORU23
25.04.2024 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 0-0 HT 0-0 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 PORU23
20.02.2024 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 3-0 HT 1-0 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estoril U23
2-1
AWAY Vizela U23
52% Ball Possession 48%
20 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Estoril U23 vs Vizela U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estoril U23 nicked a narrow win over Vizela U23 2-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Estoril U23 found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Estoril U23 had 52% of the ball to Vizela U23's 48%, shots finished 20-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Vizela U23 led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Estoril U23 and 1.50 for Vizela U23.

What was the final score of Estoril U23 vs Vizela U23?

Estoril U23 2-1 Vizela U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 29/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estoril U23 vs Vizela U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estoril U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Estoril U23 39%, draw 25%, Vizela U23 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estoril U23), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Estoril U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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