Chesham United 1-0 Hayes & Yeading — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 29 Mar 2024

Chesham United
1-0
Hayes & Yeading
📅29/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
England - Non League Premier – 2023/2024

Chesham United vs Hayes & Yeading Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.37
Draw
17%
4.62
Away
21%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.38
Over 2.5
59%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
69%
-6.5pp
17%
Draw
19%
-1.4pp
21%
Away Win
13%
+7.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
38%
+3.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
62%
-3.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.6pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chesham United v Hayes & Yeading — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chesham United EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Hayes & Yeading EU Bookmakers 16%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.49/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.00
+13% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +115%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
424 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 4.0

Chesham United vs Hayes & Yeading Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chesham United
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Hayes & Yeading
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
The Meetings
15.08.2023 Hayes & Yeading Hayes & Yeading 1-2 HT 0-0 Chesham United Chesham United İNGNLP
10.04.2023 Hayes & Yeading Hayes & Yeading 0-3 HT 0-1 Chesham United Chesham United İNGNLP
26.12.2022 Chesham United Chesham United 0-3 HT 0-1 Hayes & Yeading Hayes & Yeading İNGNLP
18.04.2022 Hayes & Yeading Hayes & Yeading 2-0 HT 2-0 Chesham United Chesham United İNGNLP
01.01.2022 Chesham United Chesham United 2-1 HT 2-0 Hayes & Yeading Hayes & Yeading İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Chesham United vs Hayes & Yeading
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chesham United edged past Hayes & Yeading 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chesham United as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Chesham United had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Chesham United and 1.40 for Hayes & Yeading.

What was the final score of Chesham United vs Hayes & Yeading?

Chesham United 1-0 Hayes & Yeading in the England - Non League Premier on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chesham United vs Hayes & Yeading?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chesham United win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Chesham United 62%, draw 17%, Hayes & Yeading 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chesham United) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chesham United) ✗ Over 2.5
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