Herrestads 2-1 IFK Kumla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.51
Over 2.5
49%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.5
No
56%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-6.8pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.8pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
36%
+15.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
64%
-15.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
62%
-19.0pp
56%
BTTS No
38%
+19.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Herrestads EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Kumla EU Bookmakers 25%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.91/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.99
-11% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
320 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Herrestads
0W-1D-0L
AWAY IFK Kumla
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
04.09.2022 Herrestads Herrestads 1-1 HT 1-1 IFK Kumla İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Herrestads vs IFK Kumla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Herrestads nicked a narrow win over IFK Kumla 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Herrestads as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Herrestads vs IFK Kumla?

Herrestads 2-1 IFK Kumla in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Herrestads vs IFK Kumla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Herrestads win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Herrestads 50%, draw 24%, IFK Kumla 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Herrestads) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Herrestads) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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İSÇ4 More Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland
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