Arabi 3-1 Al Quadisiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
40%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.68
Over 2.5
52%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.6pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.1pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+1.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
56%
-7.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
44%
+7.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.5pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arabi EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Quadisiya EU Bookmakers 42%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -4%
1.29/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/0.68
+16% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +67%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
251 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arabi
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Quadisiya
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.11.2023 Al Quadisiya Al Quadisiya 2-1 HT 1-1 Arabi SUUD1
17.01.2023 Arabi 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Quadisiya Al Quadisiya SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arabi
3-1
AWAY Al Quadisiya
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Arabi vs Al Quadisiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arabi beat Al Quadisiya 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 23% / 39%) promised a tight game; Arabi found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Arabi had 50% of the ball to Al Quadisiya's 50%, shots finished 14-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Arabi and 1.00 for Al Quadisiya.

What was the final score of Arabi vs Al Quadisiya?

Arabi 3-1 Al Quadisiya in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arabi vs Al Quadisiya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Quadisiya win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Arabi 37%, draw 23%, Al Quadisiya 39%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Quadisiya), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Quadisiya) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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