Chrudim 2-1 Varnsdorf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - FNL, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒12:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-6.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.7pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chrudim EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Varnsdorf EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.98/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.28
+30% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chrudim
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Varnsdorf
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.09.2024 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 0-3 HT 0-1 Chrudim Chrudim ÇEK2
18.08.2024 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 0-0 HT 0-0 Chrudim Chrudim ÇEK2
17.04.2024 Chrudim Chrudim 1-1 HT 0-0 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
17.09.2023 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 3-3 HT 1-1 Chrudim Chrudim ÇEK2
20.05.2023 Chrudim Chrudim 3-2 HT 1-0 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
30.10.2022 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 2-2 HT 1-0 Chrudim Chrudim ÇEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chrudim
2-1
AWAY Varnsdorf
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chrudim vs Varnsdorf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chrudim squeezed past Varnsdorf 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Chrudim as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Chrudim had 53% of the ball to Varnsdorf's 47%, shots finished 6-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chrudim had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Chrudim and 1.33 for Varnsdorf.

What was the final score of Chrudim vs Varnsdorf?

Chrudim 2-1 Varnsdorf in the Czech Republic - FNL on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chrudim vs Varnsdorf?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chrudim win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Chrudim 41%, draw 28%, Varnsdorf 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chrudim) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chrudim) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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