Oxford City 1-0 Radcliffe Borough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.95
Over
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
29%
3.39
2-3
39%
1.78
4-5
23%
3.26
6+
9%
11.85
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.39 — our 29% vs market 23.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.2pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.8pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.1pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oxford City EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Radcliffe Borough EU Bookmakers 39%
-5% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.57/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.99
+12% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +33%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oxford City
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Radcliffe Borough
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
26.10.2024 Radcliffe Borough Radcliffe Borough 1-3 HT 1-1 Oxford City Oxford City İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oxford City
1-0
AWAY Radcliffe Borough
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Oxford City vs Radcliffe Borough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oxford City nicked a narrow win over Radcliffe Borough 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 35% — and on the day Oxford City made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Oxford City had 52% of the ball to Radcliffe Borough's 48%, shots finished 13-10.

What was the final score of Oxford City vs Radcliffe Borough?

Oxford City 1-0 Radcliffe Borough in the England - Conference on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oxford City vs Radcliffe Borough?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oxford City win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Oxford City 36%, draw 29%, Radcliffe Borough 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oxford City), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Oxford City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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