FK Karlskrona 4-0 Balkan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.21
Over 2.5
46%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-7.0pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.9pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Karlskrona EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Balkan EU Bookmakers 27%
+11% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -7%
2.54/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.96
+21% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Karlskrona
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Balkan
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
25.08.2024 Balkan Balkan 0-2 HT 0-0 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona İSÇ4
27.04.2024 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona 3-1 HT 2-0 Balkan Balkan İSÇ4
16.09.2023 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona 1-0 HT 0-0 Balkan Balkan İSÇ4
21.05.2023 Balkan Balkan 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona İSÇ4
20.08.2022 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona 0-0 HT 0-0 Balkan Balkan İSÇ4
30.04.2022 Balkan Balkan 2-2 HT 1-0 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona İSÇ4
POST-MATCH FK Karlskrona vs Balkan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Karlskrona ran out comfortable winners over Balkan 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FK Karlskrona as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Karlskrona had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FK Karlskrona and 0.50 for Balkan.

What was the final score of FK Karlskrona vs Balkan?

FK Karlskrona 4-0 Balkan in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Karlskrona vs Balkan?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Karlskrona win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split FK Karlskrona 46%, draw 25%, Balkan 29%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Karlskrona) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FK Karlskrona) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ4 More Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland
29 Mar 2025
14:00 Qviding FIF vs Astrio Analysis →
15:00 Lindome GIF vs Laholms FK Analysis →
15:00 Sölvesborgs GoIF vs Hogaborgs BK Analysis →
15:00 Linero vs IFK Trelleborg Analysis →
15:00 Ahlafors IF vs Lidköpings FK Analysis →
15:00 Herrestads vs Vanersborgs IF Analysis →