Herrestads 3-3 Vanersborgs IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.66
Draw
30%
3.94
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
56%
-11.5pp
30%
Draw
22%
+8.3pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.0pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Herrestads EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Vanersborgs IF EU Bookmakers 25%
+13% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
2.03/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/2.06
-4% / +91% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
368 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Herrestads
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Vanersborgs IF
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
31.08.2024 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF 2-4 HT 0-3 Herrestads Herrestads İSÇ4
03.05.2024 Herrestads Herrestads 4-1 HT 2-0 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Herrestads vs Vanersborgs IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Herrestads and Vanersborgs IF couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Herrestads at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Herrestads had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for Herrestads and 1.50 for Vanersborgs IF.

What was the final score of Herrestads vs Vanersborgs IF?

Herrestads 3-3 Vanersborgs IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Herrestads vs Vanersborgs IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Herrestads win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Herrestads 45%, draw 30%, Vanersborgs IF 25%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Herrestads) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Herrestads) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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