Vanersborgs IF 2-4 Herrestads — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.17
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
41%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.21
Over 2.5
45%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
28%
+6.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
41%
Away Win
48%
-7.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
41%
+13.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
59%
-13.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.4pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vanersborgs IF EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Herrestads EU Bookmakers 52%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.53/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.11
-2% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +25%
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vanersborgs IF
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Herrestads
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
03.05.2024 Herrestads Herrestads 4-1 HT 2-0 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Vanersborgs IF vs Herrestads
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Herrestads saw off Vanersborgs IF 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Herrestads as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Vanersborgs IF vs Herrestads?

Vanersborgs IF 2-4 Herrestads in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vanersborgs IF vs Herrestads?

Before kick-off our model rated an Herrestads win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Vanersborgs IF 34%, draw 25%, Herrestads 41%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Herrestads), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Herrestads) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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