Hogaborgs BK 1-2 Kristianstads FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.5
Draw
16%
3.72
Away
59%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.21
Over 2.5
47%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.56
No
59%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
50%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
26%
X/X
4%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
25%
-0.2pp
17%
Draw
23%
-6.9pp
59%
Away Win
52%
+7.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
60%
-18.8pp
59%
BTTS No
40%
+18.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hogaborgs BK EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Kristianstads FF EU Bookmakers 56%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.64/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/1.39
+13% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -1%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
267 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hogaborgs BK
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Kristianstads FF
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
04.05.2024 Kristianstads FF Kristianstads FF 1-0 Hogaborgs BK Hogaborgs BK İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Hogaborgs BK vs Kristianstads FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kristianstads FF edged past Hogaborgs BK 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kristianstads FF as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Hogaborgs BK vs Kristianstads FF?

Hogaborgs BK 1-2 Kristianstads FF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hogaborgs BK vs Kristianstads FF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kristianstads FF win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Hogaborgs BK 25%, draw 17%, Kristianstads FF 59%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kristianstads FF) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kristianstads FF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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