Kristianstads FF 1-0 Hogaborgs BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.61
Draw
17%
4.08
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
2.51
Over 2.5
69%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.55
No
37%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
58%
-3.9pp
17%
Draw
21%
-4.6pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+8.4pp
31%
Under 2.5
36%
-4.9pp
69%
Over 2.5
64%
+4.9pp
63%
BTTS Yes
60%
+2.4pp
37%
BTTS No
40%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kristianstads FF EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Hogaborgs BK EU Bookmakers 24%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.82/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/2.49
-21% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Kristianstads FF vs Hogaborgs BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kristianstads FF edged past Hogaborgs BK 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kristianstads FF as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Kristianstads FF vs Hogaborgs BK?

Kristianstads FF 1-0 Hogaborgs BK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kristianstads FF vs Hogaborgs BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kristianstads FF win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Kristianstads FF 54%, draw 17%, Hogaborgs BK 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kristianstads FF) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kristianstads FF) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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