Lugo 0-2 Ourense CF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 29 Mar 2025

Lugo
0-2 HT 0-1
Ourense CF
📅29/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division B – 2024/2025

Lugo vs Ourense CF Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.48
Over 2.5
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.12
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
5.41
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
20%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-1.1pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.2pp
29%
Away Win
29%
-0.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.9pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lugo v Ourense CF — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lugo EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Ourense CF EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.98/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.37
-22% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
331 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
10.0 Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.0

Lugo vs Ourense CF Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lugo
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ourense CF
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
11.01.2025 Ourense CF Ourense CF 2-1 HT 0-1 Lugo Lugo İS3

Lugo 0-2 Ourense CF — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lugo
0-2
AWAY Ourense CF
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Lugo vs Ourense CF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ourense CF beat Lugo 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 32% / 29%) promised a tight game; Ourense CF found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Lugo had 54% of the ball to Ourense CF's 46%, shots finished 15-5.

What was the final score of Lugo vs Ourense CF?

Lugo 0-2 Ourense CF in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lugo vs Ourense CF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lugo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Lugo 40%, draw 32%, Ourense CF 29%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lugo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lugo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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