Sevilla II 0-1 Marbella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.56
Over 2.5
46%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.31
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
4.8
6+ Goals
8%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.6pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
60%
-6.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
40%
+6.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.4pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sevilla II EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Marbella EU Bookmakers 29%
+8% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -10%
1.86/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.62
+35% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -23%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
336 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sevilla II
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Marbella
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
12.10.2024 Marbella Marbella 4-1 HT 1-0 Sevilla II Sevilla II İS3
14.04.2024 Marbella Marbella 2-0 HT 0-0 Sevilla II Sevilla II İS4
03.12.2023 Sevilla II Sevilla II 2-0 HT 1-0 Marbella Marbella İS4
01.12.2019 Marbella Marbella 2-1 HT 2-0 Sevilla II Sevilla II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sevilla II
0-1
AWAY Marbella
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sevilla II vs Marbella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marbella squeezed past Sevilla II 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Sevilla II at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sevilla II had 55% of the ball to Marbella's 45%, shots finished 10-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Marbella led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sevilla II and 2.00 for Marbella.

What was the final score of Sevilla II vs Marbella?

Sevilla II 0-1 Marbella in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sevilla II vs Marbella?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sevilla II win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sevilla II 45%, draw 28%, Marbella 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sevilla II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sevilla II) ✓ Under 2.5
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