Marbella 4-1 Sevilla II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.51
Over 2.5
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.26
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
5.44
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.2pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.6pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.7pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marbella EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sevilla II EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.91/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.15
-27% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marbella
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Sevilla II
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2024 Marbella Marbella 2-0 HT 0-0 Sevilla II Sevilla II İS4
03.12.2023 Sevilla II Sevilla II 2-0 HT 1-0 Marbella Marbella İS4
01.12.2019 Marbella Marbella 2-1 HT 2-0 Sevilla II Sevilla II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marbella
4-1
AWAY Sevilla II
67% Ball Possession 33%
18 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Marbella vs Sevilla II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marbella swept aside Sevilla II 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Marbella as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Marbella had 67% of the ball to Sevilla II's 33%, shots finished 18-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Marbella had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Marbella and 1.00 for Sevilla II.

What was the final score of Marbella vs Sevilla II?

Marbella 4-1 Sevilla II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marbella vs Sevilla II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marbella win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Marbella 43%, draw 27%, Sevilla II 30%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marbella) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Marbella) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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