UD Ibiza 1-1 Atletico Madrid II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.96
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.36
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
5.12
6+ Goals
8%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
47%
-8.1pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.9pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-1.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+1.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.6pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UD Ibiza EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid II EU Bookmakers 28%
-8% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +21%
0.94/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/0.83
-31% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +49%
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
354 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 199 · 63%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UD Ibiza
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Atletico Madrid II
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2024 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II İS3
23.09.2023 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II 1-1 HT 1-0 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza İS3
03.11.2019 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza 1-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UD Ibiza
1-1
AWAY Atletico Madrid II
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
POST-MATCH UD Ibiza vs Atletico Madrid II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UD Ibiza and Atletico Madrid II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, UD Ibiza had 52% of the ball to Atletico Madrid II's 48%, shots finished 9-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid II led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for UD Ibiza and 1.33 for Atletico Madrid II.

What was the final score of UD Ibiza vs Atletico Madrid II?

UD Ibiza 1-1 Atletico Madrid II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UD Ibiza vs Atletico Madrid II?

Before kick-off our model rated a UD Ibiza win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split UD Ibiza 39%, draw 30%, Atletico Madrid II 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (UD Ibiza), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UD Ibiza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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