Alcorcon 1-2 Real Betis II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.8
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
21%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.61
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.5
6+ Goals
10%
24.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-1.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.8pp
21%
Away Win
23%
-2.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.6pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alcorcon EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Betis II EU Bookmakers 26%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.04/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/0.90
+38% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +37%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
283 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alcorcon
1-2
AWAY Real Betis II
38% Ball Possession 62%
4 Total Shots 26
2 Shots on Target 15
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Alcorcon vs Real Betis II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Betis II edged past Alcorcon 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Alcorcon at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Alcorcon had 38% of the ball to Real Betis II's 62%, shots finished 4-26.

What was the final score of Alcorcon vs Real Betis II?

Alcorcon 1-2 Real Betis II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alcorcon vs Real Betis II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alcorcon win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Alcorcon 50%, draw 29%, Real Betis II 21%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Alcorcon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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