Cultural Leonesa 3-0 Ourense CF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
26%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.75
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.24
6+ Goals
8%
20.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
59%
-9.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.8pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+9.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.7pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cultural Leonesa EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Ourense CF EU Bookmakers 20%
+8% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.54/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/1.51
-10% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cultural Leonesa
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Ourense CF
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
14 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
27.04.2014 Ourense CF Ourense CF 1-1 HT 0-1 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa İS3
08.12.2013 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa 1-2 HT 1-0 Ourense CF Ourense CF İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cultural Leonesa
3-0
AWAY Ourense CF
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cultural Leonesa vs Ourense CF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cultural Leonesa swept aside Ourense CF 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cultural Leonesa as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Cultural Leonesa had 52% of the ball to Ourense CF's 48%, shots finished 17-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ourense CF led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cultural Leonesa and 1.50 for Ourense CF.

What was the final score of Cultural Leonesa vs Ourense CF?

Cultural Leonesa 3-0 Ourense CF in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cultural Leonesa vs Ourense CF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cultural Leonesa win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Cultural Leonesa 49%, draw 25%, Ourense CF 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cultural Leonesa), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cultural Leonesa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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