Marbella 2-0 Sevilla II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-0.8pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.6pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.2pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marbella EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Sevilla II EU Bookmakers 34%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +4%
0.51/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/0.92
-58% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
270 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marbella
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Sevilla II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.12.2023 Sevilla II Sevilla II 2-0 HT 1-0 Marbella Marbella İS4
01.12.2019 Marbella Marbella 2-1 HT 2-0 Sevilla II Sevilla II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marbella
2-0
AWAY Sevilla II
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Marbella vs Sevilla II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marbella got the better of Sevilla II 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 32%) promised a tight game; Marbella found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Marbella had 39% of the ball to Sevilla II's 61%, shots finished 10-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Marbella and 1.50 for Sevilla II.

What was the final score of Marbella vs Sevilla II?

Marbella 2-0 Sevilla II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marbella vs Sevilla II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marbella win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Marbella 37%, draw 31%, Sevilla II 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marbella), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Marbella) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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