New England Revolution 2-1 New York Red Bulls — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 29 Mar 2025

New England Revolution
2-1 HT 1-1
New York Red Bulls
📅29/03/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
USA - Major League – 2025

New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
34%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.71
2-3 Goals
46%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
3.97
6+ Goals
8%
18.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✗
26%
4.66
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
6%
13.9
X/1
10%
6.28
X/2
12%
5.11
X/X
12%
4.28
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
15%
3.4
2/X
7%
13.5
Value flag · 1/1 at 4.66 — our 26% vs market 17.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
32%
+8.8pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.0pp
34%
Away Win
40%
-5.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.2pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

New England Revolution v New York Red Bulls — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New England Revolution EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY New York Red Bulls EU Bookmakers 43%
-6% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -7%
1.10/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.23
-46% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +47%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
293 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 78%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
17.2 Crosses 16.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9

New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New England Revolution
2W-1D-3L
AWAY New York Red Bulls
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.81 xG 1.52
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
346 Passes 301
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
13 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
09.06.2024 New England Revolution New England Revolution 1-0 HT 0-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
12.05.2024 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 4-2 HT 2-1 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
31.08.2023 New England Revolution New England Revolution 1-0 HT 1-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
23.07.2023 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 0-0 HT 0-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution CONLK
09.07.2023 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 2-1 HT 0-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
11.09.2022 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 2-1 HT 0-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD

New England Revolution 2-1 New York Red Bulls — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New England Revolution
2-1
AWAY New York Red Bulls
2.16 xG 1.53
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
339 Passes 298
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
31 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

New England Revolution edged past New York Red Bulls 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had New England Revolution as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, New England Revolution had 52% of the ball to New York Red Bulls's 48%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 2.16 to 1.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York Red Bulls led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for New England Revolution and 1.33 for New York Red Bulls.

What was the final score of New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls?

New England Revolution 2-1 New York Red Bulls in the USA - Major League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls?

Before kick-off our model rated a New England Revolution win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split New England Revolution 41%, draw 25%, New York Red Bulls 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New England Revolution) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (New England Revolution) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ABD More USA - Major League
29 Mar 2025
21:30 Toronto FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps Analysis →
23:30 Colorado Rapids vs Charlotte Analysis →