Osnabrück 1-0 1860 München — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 29 Mar 2025

Osnabrück
1-0 HT 1-0
1860 München
📅29/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Osnabrück vs 1860 München Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.82
Over 2.5
56%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.33
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.71
6+ Goals
10%
15.0
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.71 — our 28% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.02
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.15
X/1
11%
4.96
X/2
8%
6.91
X/X
13%
4.68
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
26.0
2/2
13%
5.02
2/X
6%
13.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.0 — our 11% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+0.8pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
29%
Away Win
29%
-0.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
51%
-6.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
49%
+6.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.0pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Osnabrück v 1860 München — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osnabrück EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY 1860 München EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +13%
1.55/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.14
-17% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +11%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
402 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 66%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
23.5 Crosses 19.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6

Osnabrück vs 1860 München Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osnabrück
3W-1D-2L
AWAY 1860 München
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.69 xG 0.15
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
230 Passes 316
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 9
22 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.10.2024 1860 München 1860 München 2-2 HT 1-1 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
08.04.2023 1860 München 1860 München 3-0 HT 1-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
15.10.2022 Osnabrück Osnabrück 0-2 HT 0-1 1860 München 1860 München AL3
16.04.2022 1860 München 1860 München 2-3 HT 1-2 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
06.11.2021 Osnabrück Osnabrück 3-1 HT 1-1 1860 München 1860 München AL3
02.02.2019 1860 München 1860 München 1-2 HT 0-1 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3

Osnabrück 1-0 1860 München — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osnabrück
1-0
AWAY 1860 München
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 0
1 Corners 4
221 Passes 265
70% Pass Accuracy 74%
10 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Osnabrück vs 1860 München
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osnabrück squeezed past 1860 München 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Osnabrück as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Osnabrück had 46% of the ball to 1860 München's 54%, shots finished 8-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Osnabrück had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Osnabrück and 1.83 for 1860 München.

What was the final score of Osnabrück vs 1860 München?

Osnabrück 1-0 1860 München in the Germany - 3rd Division on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osnabrück vs 1860 München?

Before kick-off our model rated a Osnabrück win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Osnabrück 45%, draw 27%, 1860 München 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Osnabrück) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Osnabrück) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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