Sorrento 2-2 Perth Glory II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.21
Over 2.5
65%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.33
No
37%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-1.1pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.6pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-1.5pp
35%
Under 2.5
41%
-6.3pp
65%
Over 2.5
59%
+6.3pp
63%
BTTS Yes
71%
-8.6pp
37%
BTTS No
29%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sorrento EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Perth Glory II EU Bookmakers 46%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.06/2.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.34/1.70
+30% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
363 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sorrento
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Perth Glory II
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
08.07.2023 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II 5-3 HT 2-1 Sorrento Sorrento AVUSB
27.05.2023 Sorrento Sorrento 2-3 HT 1-2 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II AVNPL
05.08.2022 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II 1-5 Sorrento Sorrento AVNPL
14.05.2022 Sorrento Sorrento 2-0 HT 2-0 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II AVNPL
11.09.2021 Sorrento Sorrento 1-3 HT 1-1 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II AVUSB
14.08.2021 Sorrento Sorrento 1-0 HT 1-0 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II AVUSB
POST-MATCH Sorrento vs Perth Glory II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sorrento and Perth Glory II couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Sorrento and 2.00 for Perth Glory II.

What was the final score of Sorrento vs Perth Glory II?

Sorrento 2-2 Perth Glory II in the Australia - National Premier League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sorrento vs Perth Glory II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Perth Glory II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sorrento 35%, draw 25%, Perth Glory II 40%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Perth Glory II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Perth Glory II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVNPL More Australia - National Premier League
29 Mar 2025
00:00 Stirling Lions vs Perth Analysis →
07:00 Avondale Heights vs Hume City Analysis →
08:00 Melbourne Victory II vs Green Gully Analysis →
09:30 NWS Spirit vs Sutherland Sharks Analysis →
10:00 Fremantle City vs Balcatta Analysis →
11:00 Marconi Stallions vs Western Sydney W. II Analysis →