NWS Spirit 1-1 Sutherland Sharks — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒09:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.89
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
40%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.07
Over 2.5
57%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
21%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
49%
-9.0pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.9pp
40%
Away Win
27%
+12.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.0pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NWS Spirit EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Sutherland Sharks EU Bookmakers 30%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -10%
3.22/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.64
-8% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
420 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.5 Crosses 16.0
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NWS Spirit
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Sutherland Sharks
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.08 xG 1.25
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
448 Passes 312
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 3
25.06.2024 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit 1-3 HT 1-1 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks AVNPL
24.02.2024 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks 0-0 HT 0-0 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit AVNPL
10.06.2023 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit 2-2 HT 0-1 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks AVNPL
25.02.2023 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks 1-0 HT 1-0 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit AVNPL
POST-MATCH NWS Spirit vs Sutherland Sharks
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NWS Spirit and Sutherland Sharks shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 20% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sutherland Sharks led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for NWS Spirit and 1.50 for Sutherland Sharks.

What was the final score of NWS Spirit vs Sutherland Sharks?

NWS Spirit 1-1 Sutherland Sharks in the Australia - National Premier League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NWS Spirit vs Sutherland Sharks?

Before kick-off our model rated a NWS Spirit win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split NWS Spirit 40%, draw 20%, Sutherland Sharks 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (40/20/40) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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