Grazer AK 0-0 Swarovski Tirol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
37%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.67
Over 2.5
40%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.88
No
60%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
36%
2.75
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
4.46
6+ Goals
8%
22.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.75 — our 36% vs market 31.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.45
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
4%
13.3
X/1
6%
5.17
X/2 EV+ ✗
19%
6.34
X/X
14%
4.07
2/1
7%
30.5
2/2
14%
4.75
2/X
7%
13.7
Value flag · X/2 at 6.34 — our 19% vs market 12.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.2pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.0pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+6.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
49%
-9.4pp
60%
BTTS No
51%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grazer AK EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Swarovski Tirol EU Bookmakers 34%
-21% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +18%
1.02/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.57
-49% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
292 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
23.0 Crosses 17.0
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grazer AK
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Swarovski Tirol
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.99 xG 0.83
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
233 Passes 466
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.11.2024 Grazer AK Grazer AK 2-1 HT 1-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
10.08.2024 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 0-0 HT 0-0 Grazer AK Grazer AK AVU
22.09.2021 Grazer AK Grazer AK 2-4 HT 2-2 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grazer AK
0-0
AWAY Swarovski Tirol
0.61 xG 0.75
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
359 Passes 245
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Grazer AK vs Swarovski Tirol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grazer AK and Swarovski Tirol played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Grazer AK had 56% of the ball to Swarovski Tirol's 44%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 0.61 to 0.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Grazer AK and 1.67 for Swarovski Tirol.

What was the final score of Grazer AK vs Swarovski Tirol?

Grazer AK 0-0 Swarovski Tirol in the Austria - Bundesliga on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grazer AK vs Swarovski Tirol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grazer AK win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Grazer AK 38%, draw 25%, Swarovski Tirol 37%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Grazer AK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Grazer AK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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