Hartberg vs Austria Klagenfurt Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hartberg v Austria Klagenfurt — Team-Based Signals
Hartberg vs Austria Klagenfurt Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Hartberg
AVU
0-3
HT 0-1
Austria Klagenfurt
AVU
Hartberg 2-3 Austria Klagenfurt — Actual Match Statistics
Austria Klagenfurt squeezed past Hartberg 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Hartberg at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Hartberg had 46% of the ball to Austria Klagenfurt's 54%, shots finished 18-18, expected goals 2.20 to 1.91.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hartberg and 1.83 for Austria Klagenfurt.
What was the final score of Hartberg vs Austria Klagenfurt?
Hartberg 2-3 Austria Klagenfurt in the Austria - Bundesliga on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hartberg vs Austria Klagenfurt?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hartberg win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Hartberg 45%, draw 28%, Austria Klagenfurt 27%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.