Hartberg 1-1 Austria Klagenfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.31
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.63
6+ Goals
10%
14.55
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.63 — our 26% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.54
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.25
X/1 EV+ ✗
23%
4.51
X/2
9%
8.01
X/X
13%
4.72
2/1
6%
24.3
2/2
9%
6.17
2/X
8%
14.35
Value flag · X/1 at 4.51 — our 23% vs market 17.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
49%
+0.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.9pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-1.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.5pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartberg EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Austria Klagenfurt EU Bookmakers 28%
+2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +19%
1.56/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.84
+6% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
340 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 69%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
19.5 Crosses 13.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartberg
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Austria Klagenfurt
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.37 xG 1.89
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
394 Passes 344
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 2-2 HT 0-1 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
28.04.2024 Hartberg Hartberg 3-2 HT 3-0 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AVU
07.04.2024 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 2-2 HT 1-2 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
04.12.2023 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 1-1 HT 0-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
27.08.2023 Hartberg Hartberg 0-3 HT 0-1 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AVU
12.03.2023 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 1-0 HT 1-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartberg
1-1
AWAY Austria Klagenfurt
2.19 xG 1.64
70% Ball Possession 30%
19 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
509 Passes 176
83% Pass Accuracy 66%
35 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hartberg vs Austria Klagenfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hartberg and Austria Klagenfurt shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Hartberg at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Hartberg had 70% of the ball to Austria Klagenfurt's 30%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 2.19 to 1.64.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Austria Klagenfurt led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hartberg and 1.83 for Austria Klagenfurt.

What was the final score of Hartberg vs Austria Klagenfurt?

Hartberg 1-1 Austria Klagenfurt in the Austria - Bundesliga on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartberg vs Austria Klagenfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hartberg win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Hartberg 50%, draw 27%, Austria Klagenfurt 23%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hartberg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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