Austria Wien 2-1 Rapid Wien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 16 Feb 2025

Austria Wien
2-1 HT 1-1
Rapid Wien
📅16/02/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Austria - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Austria Wien vs Rapid Wien Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
30%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.75
No
43%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.03
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
23%
3.93
6+ Goals
12%
17.45
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.93 — our 23% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.3
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
8%
12.95
X/1
14%
6.12
X/2
12%
5.36
X/X
13%
4.25
2/1
9%
32.0
2/2
12%
3.5
2/X
9%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+6.2pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.2pp
30%
Away Win
38%
-7.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.1pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Austria Wien v Rapid Wien — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austria Wien EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Rapid Wien EU Bookmakers 42%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
1.68/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.01
+26% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +10%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
405 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
21.7 Crosses 18.2
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.9

Austria Wien vs Rapid Wien Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austria Wien
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Rapid Wien
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.62 xG 1.67
49% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
259 Passes 266
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
25 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.09.2024 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 2-1 HT 1-1 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
25.02.2024 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 3-0 HT 3-0 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
01.10.2023 Austria Wien Austria Wien 0-0 HT 0-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
14.05.2023 Austria Wien Austria Wien 3-1 HT 2-1 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
16.04.2023 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 3-3 HT 2-2 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
19.03.2023 Austria Wien Austria Wien 2-0 HT 1-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU

Austria Wien 2-1 Rapid Wien — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Austria Wien
2-1
AWAY Rapid Wien
1.07 xG 1.04
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
261 Passes 273
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 32
17 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Austria Wien vs Rapid Wien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austria Wien squeezed past Rapid Wien 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and on the day Austria Wien made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Austria Wien had 50% of the ball to Rapid Wien's 50%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 1.07 to 1.04.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Austria Wien and 1.50 for Rapid Wien.

What was the final score of Austria Wien vs Rapid Wien?

Austria Wien 2-1 Rapid Wien in the Austria - Bundesliga on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austria Wien vs Rapid Wien?

Before kick-off our model rated a Austria Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Austria Wien 40%, draw 30%, Rapid Wien 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Austria Wien), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Austria Wien) ✓ BTTS Yes
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