Al Ittihad Kalba 0-1 Al Wahda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.13
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
48%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
4.02
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
2.91
6+ Goals
11%
8.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.02 — our 26% vs market 19.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
21%
+8.3pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.2pp
48%
Away Win
56%
-8.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.4pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ittihad Kalba EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Wahda EU Bookmakers 61%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
1.09/1.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.23
-14% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +19%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
240 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 80%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
14.9 Crosses 24.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ittihad Kalba
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Al Wahda
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.29 xG 2.04
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
245 Passes 389
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.10.2024 Al Wahda Al Wahda 3-1 HT 2-1 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAE
15.04.2024 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAE
27.10.2023 Al Wahda Al Wahda 2-1 HT 0-0 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAE
05.02.2023 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 0-2 HT 0-2 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAE
26.11.2022 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 1-5 HT 1-1 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAELK
11.10.2022 Al Wahda Al Wahda 2-1 HT 0-0 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAELK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ittihad Kalba
0-1
AWAY Al Wahda
0.40 xG 1.52
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 3
249 Passes 460
78% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 32
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Ittihad Kalba vs Al Wahda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Wahda edged past Al Ittihad Kalba 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Wahda as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Al Ittihad Kalba had 38% of the ball to Al Wahda's 62%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 0.40 to 1.52.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Wahda led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Al Ittihad Kalba and 2.33 for Al Wahda.

What was the final score of Al Ittihad Kalba vs Al Wahda?

Al Ittihad Kalba 0-1 Al Wahda in the UAE - League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ittihad Kalba vs Al Wahda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Wahda win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Al Ittihad Kalba 29%, draw 23%, Al Wahda 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Wahda), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Wahda) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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