Al Ahli Manama 1-1 Khalidiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.71
Draw
31%
3.8
Away
49%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.0
Over 2.5
44%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.58
2-3 Goals
44%
1.8
4-5 Goals
17%
3.13
6+ Goals
12%
10.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 27% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
18%
+1.5pp
31%
Draw
23%
+7.5pp
50%
Away Win
58%
-9.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
46%
+9.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
54%
-9.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.1pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli Manama EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Khalidiya EU Bookmakers 62%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.02/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/0.77
+1% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +9%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
255 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli Manama
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Khalidiya
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.04.2024 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 0-1 HT 0-0 Khalidiya Khalidiya BAH
08.10.2023 Khalidiya Khalidiya 7-1 HT 4-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
02.03.2023 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 0-3 HT 0-1 Khalidiya Khalidiya BAH
02.03.2023 Khalidiya Khalidiya 0-3 HT 0-1 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
11.09.2022 Khalidiya Khalidiya 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
16.04.2022 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 0-2 HT 0-1 Khalidiya Khalidiya BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahli Manama
1-1
AWAY Khalidiya
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 13
4 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Ahli Manama vs Khalidiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli Manama and Khalidiya shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Khalidiya at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Ahli Manama had 42% of the ball to Khalidiya's 58%, shots finished 6-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Khalidiya led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Al Ahli Manama and 2.17 for Khalidiya.

What was the final score of Al Ahli Manama vs Khalidiya?

Al Ahli Manama 1-1 Khalidiya in the Bahrain - Premier League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli Manama vs Khalidiya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Khalidiya win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli Manama 20%, draw 31%, Khalidiya 50%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Khalidiya) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Khalidiya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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