Al Riffa 1-3 Sitra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.71
Over 2.5
36%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.72
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
3.95
6+ Goals
9%
18.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.72 — our 31% vs market 29.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
14%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-8.8pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.0pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+5.7pp
64%
Under 2.5
55%
+9.5pp
36%
Over 2.5
45%
-9.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.3pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Riffa EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sitra EU Bookmakers 23%
-10% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.49/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/0.94
-28% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +76%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Riffa
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Sitra
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.04.2024 Al Riffa Al Riffa 1-1 HT 1-0 Sitra Sitra BAH
27.02.2024 Sitra Sitra 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
15.10.2023 Al Riffa Al Riffa 2-1 HT 0-1 Sitra Sitra BAHK
03.04.2023 Sitra Sitra 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
25.11.2022 Al Riffa Al Riffa 1-1 HT 0-1 Sitra Sitra BAH
08.11.2020 Sitra Sitra 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAHK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Riffa
1-3
AWAY Sitra
67% Ball Possession 33%
9 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Riffa vs Sitra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sitra got the better of Al Riffa 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Al Riffa at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Riffa had 67% of the ball to Sitra's 33%, shots finished 9-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Riffa had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Al Riffa and 0.67 for Sitra.

What was the final score of Al Riffa vs Sitra?

Al Riffa 1-3 Sitra in the Bahrain - Premier League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Riffa vs Sitra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Riffa win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Al Riffa 45%, draw 29%, Sitra 26%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Riffa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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