KRC Genk II 0-1 La Louvière — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.65
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
47%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.21
Over 2.5
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
4.18
2-3 Goals
36%
1.86
4-5 Goals
25%
2.85
6+ Goals
11%
8.28
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.18 — our 28% vs market 18.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
33%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
19%
+5.3pp
29%
Draw
22%
+6.6pp
47%
Away Win
59%
-11.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.5pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KRC Genk II EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY La Louvière EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
1.41/1.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/0.32
+66% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% /
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
260 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 430 · 82%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
19.3 Crosses 15.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KRC Genk II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY La Louvière
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.19 xG 2.09
65% Ball Possession 35%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
398 Passes 169
79% Pass Accuracy 65%
19 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 5
07.12.2024 La Louvière La Louvière 2-1 HT 0-0 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KRC Genk II
0-1
AWAY La Louvière
0.21 xG 3.26
66% Ball Possession 34%
6 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
400 Passes 168
82% Pass Accuracy 70%
7 Box Touches 42
13 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH KRC Genk II vs La Louvière
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Louvière nicked a narrow win over KRC Genk II 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had La Louvière as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, KRC Genk II had 66% of the ball to La Louvière's 34%, shots finished 6-22, expected goals 0.21 to 3.26 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold La Louvière's control.

What was the final score of KRC Genk II vs La Louvière?

KRC Genk II 0-1 La Louvière in the Belgium - 1st Division on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KRC Genk II vs La Louvière?

Before kick-off our model rated an La Louvière win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split KRC Genk II 24%, draw 29%, La Louvière 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (La Louvière), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (La Louvière) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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