Lierse Kempenzonen 0-1 Waasland-Beveren — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.32
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
44%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.27
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.34
6+ Goals
11%
12.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
26%
+7.2pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.6pp
44%
Away Win
48%
-3.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.6pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lierse Kempenzonen EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Waasland-Beveren EU Bookmakers 52%
-3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +5%
1.22/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/0.95
-4% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -16%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
295 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 79%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.5
18.1 Crosses 19.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lierse Kempenzonen
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Waasland-Beveren
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.29 xG 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
313 Passes 331
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 25
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.12.2024 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 1-0 HT 1-0 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
10.02.2024 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 3-1 HT 2-1 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
04.11.2023 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 2-2 HT 1-1 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL2
07.05.2023 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 2-3 HT 1-2 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL2
17.03.2023 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 2-0 HT 1-0 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
13.11.2022 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 1-5 HT 1-0 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lierse Kempenzonen
0-1
AWAY Waasland-Beveren
1.18 xG 1.77
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
215 Passes 269
66% Pass Accuracy 72%
12 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Lierse Kempenzonen vs Waasland-Beveren
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Waasland-Beveren squeezed past Lierse Kempenzonen 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Waasland-Beveren as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Lierse Kempenzonen had 49% of the ball to Waasland-Beveren's 51%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 1.18 to 1.77.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Waasland-Beveren led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lierse Kempenzonen and 2.67 for Waasland-Beveren.

What was the final score of Lierse Kempenzonen vs Waasland-Beveren?

Lierse Kempenzonen 0-1 Waasland-Beveren in the Belgium - 1st Division on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lierse Kempenzonen vs Waasland-Beveren?

Before kick-off our model rated an Waasland-Beveren win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Lierse Kempenzonen 34%, draw 22%, Waasland-Beveren 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Waasland-Beveren) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Waasland-Beveren) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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