Slutsk 2-0 Smorgon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.56
Over 2.5
36%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.99
No
61%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
41%
2.34
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
4.72
6+ Goals
6%
27.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.34 — our 41% vs market 35.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.5pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.4pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
60%
+3.8pp
36%
Over 2.5
40%
-3.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
46%
-7.7pp
61%
BTTS No
54%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slutsk EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Smorgon EU Bookmakers 31%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.13/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.79
-18% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -30%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slutsk
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Smorgon
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
09.11.2024 Slutsk Slutsk 0-0 HT 0-0 Smorgon Smorgon BLR
21.06.2024 Smorgon Smorgon 4-1 HT 2-1 Slutsk Slutsk BLR
03.09.2023 Slutsk Slutsk 3-3 HT 1-1 Smorgon Smorgon BLR
21.04.2023 Smorgon Smorgon 3-2 HT 1-1 Slutsk Slutsk BLR
21.06.2022 Smorgon Smorgon 1-3 HT 0-0 Slutsk Slutsk BLRK
23.10.2021 Slutsk Slutsk 2-1 HT 1-0 Smorgon Smorgon BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slutsk
2-0
AWAY Smorgon
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Slutsk vs Smorgon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slutsk beat Smorgon 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Slutsk as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Slutsk had 51% of the ball to Smorgon's 49%, shots finished 8-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Slutsk and 2.00 for Smorgon.

What was the final score of Slutsk vs Smorgon?

Slutsk 2-0 Smorgon in the Belarus - Premier League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slutsk vs Smorgon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slutsk win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Slutsk 42%, draw 31%, Smorgon 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slutsk), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Slutsk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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