Cherno More Varna 1-1 Slavia Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.76
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-4.9pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.5pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+2.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.0pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cherno More Varna EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Slavia Sofia EU Bookmakers 23%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.49/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.22
-6% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
365 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 209 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cherno More Varna
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Slavia Sofia
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
14.12.2024 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 1-0 HT 0-0 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BULK
04.10.2024 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 1-0 HT 0-0 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
09.12.2023 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 3-0 HT 1-0 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
12.08.2023 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 1-5 HT 1-2 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cherno More Varna
1-1
AWAY Slavia Sofia
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cherno More Varna vs Slavia Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cherno More Varna and Slavia Sofia shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Cherno More Varna at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Cherno More Varna had 60% of the ball to Slavia Sofia's 40%, shots finished 13-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cherno More Varna had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Cherno More Varna and 0.50 for Slavia Sofia.

What was the final score of Cherno More Varna vs Slavia Sofia?

Cherno More Varna 1-1 Slavia Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cherno More Varna vs Slavia Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cherno More Varna win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Cherno More Varna 48%, draw 30%, Slavia Sofia 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cherno More Varna), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cherno More Varna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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29 Mar 2025
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