Middelfart 1-0 Frem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
30%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.34
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.29
6+ Goals
10%
12.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 29% vs market 23.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
57%
-11.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
30%
Away Win
20%
+10.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Middelfart EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Frem EU Bookmakers 23%
-10% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +9%
1.66/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.43
-9% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
406 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Middelfart
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Frem
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
17.08.2024 Frem Frem 2-1 HT 1-1 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
05.06.2021 Middelfart Middelfart 2-1 HT 1-1 Frem Frem DAN2
12.09.2020 Frem Frem 2-0 HT 1-0 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
27.06.2020 Frem Frem 4-2 HT 3-1 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Middelfart
1-0
AWAY Frem
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Middelfart vs Frem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Middelfart nicked a narrow win over Frem 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Middelfart as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Middelfart had 46% of the ball to Frem's 54%, shots finished 9-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Frem led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Middelfart and 2.25 for Frem.

What was the final score of Middelfart vs Frem?

Middelfart 1-0 Frem in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Middelfart vs Frem?

Before kick-off our model rated a Middelfart win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Middelfart 45%, draw 25%, Frem 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Middelfart) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Middelfart) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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